Leylah Annie Fernandez enters Friday's quarterfinal at the WTA Rothersay Open Nottingham as the statistical favorite against Dayana Yastremska, according to advanced prediction models. Data analysts have given the Canadian tennis star a 58% chance of advancing to the semifinals in this crucial grass court matchup.
"Employing the latest data, we simulated Friday's Fernandez-Yastremska match 10,000 times," explained Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn. "After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict Leylah Fernandez' chance of winning is 58%, while Dayana Yastremska's is 42%."
The same predictive model gives Fernandez a slightly lower but still favorable 56% probability of claiming the first set against her Ukrainian opponent.
Interestingly, this quarterfinal matchup represents a critical juncture for both players on grass – a surface that can significantly impact playing styles and strategies compared to clay or hardcourt. Neither competitor has secured a WTA title so far in 2025.
The match is scheduled for Friday, June 20, with an early start time of 6:00AM Eastern Time (3:00AM Pacific), challenging fans in North America who want to watch the action live.
While the statistical models favor Fernandez, tennis enthusiasts know that Yastremska's powerful game can threaten any opponent when she's playing at her best. Will the numbers hold true when these talented players face off on the Nottingham grass? We'll find out Friday morning.
