Scottie Scheffler enters this week's U.S. Open at Oakmont Country Club as the clear betting favorite, commanding +275 odds despite defending champion Bryson DeChambeau's recent hot streak.
"A U.S. Open at Oakmont is one of the toughest tests these players will face," – said Matt Wall, Senior Sports Trader at BetMGM, noting that Scheffler and DeChambeau have become significant liabilities for bookmakers.
The world's top-ranked golfer has been nothing short of dominant in 2025, having already claimed the Byron Nelson, PGA Championship, and Memorial Tournament by a combined 17 strokes. Though Scheffler remains winless at the U.S. Open, his three consecutive top-7 finishes between 2021 and 2023 suggest his breakthrough might be imminent.
Meanwhile, DeChambeau isn't far behind at +700 odds. The defending champion has been remarkably consistent, finishing fifth or better in all six starts since April, including a T5 at the Masters, a win at LIV Korea, and a runner-up showing at the PGA Championship. The U.S. Open's demanding setup has historically suited his game better than any other major.
Interestingly, Rory McIlroy arrives at Oakmont with longer odds (+1000 to +1500) despite his impressive U.S. Open record, which includes runner-up finishes in both 2023 and 2024. His early 2025 momentum—wins at Pebble Beach, THE PLAYERS, and the Masters—stalled after a disappointing T47 at the PGA Championship and a missed cut at the Canadian Open.
According to BetMGM data, Scheffler commands the highest ticket percentage (10.6%) and handle percentage (15.3%) among bettors. BetMGM also reports that Phil Mickelson has received substantial support in what could be his final attempt at completing the career grand slam.
The "Without Scottie Scheffler" market has proven particularly popular as bettors seek insurance against another dominant performance from golf's current top player. Can anyone challenge Scheffler at one of golf's most demanding venues?
